Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 7-6
2–3
Final / OTL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 8-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
0911411006239
MTL
211070412324
goals · shots on goal
Game 7 — the Sabres trail the series 3–4
BUF 7-6 · MTL 8-6 · Game 7 — the Sabres trail the series 3–4
Sabres fell to the Canadiens
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.2 expected goals); the Sabres lost it in overtime on Newhook's goal. Jakub Dobes stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.2, on 39 and 24 shots on goal.
BUF 3.5 xG · 39 shots
MTL 3.2 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.4
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd
1.2 · 0.7
OT
0.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Phillip Danault · 1st 04:30 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 14:29 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Jordan Greenway · 2nd 13:19 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a great chance (42%)
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 06:27 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Alex Newhook · OT 11:22 · 2–3
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 54.
BUF 54%MTL 46%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Phillip Danault · 1st 04:30 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Zachary Bolduc · 1st 14:29 · PP · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Jordan Greenway · 2nd 13:19 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a great chance (42%)
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 06:27 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Alex Newhook · OT 11:22 · GWG · 2–3
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.