Calgary Flames
CGY · 33-30-5
2–5
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 33-25-9
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
012111113236
WSH
18315110533
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
CGY 33-30-5 · WSH 33-25-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
Flames fell to the Capitals
The Flames created the better chances (3.9 to 1.7 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Dustin Wolf allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.7, on 36 and 33 shots on goal.
CGY 3.9 xG · 36 shots
WSH 1.7 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd
1.8 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Strome · 1st 14:59 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 05:58 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 09:16 · 0–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Rooney · 2nd 10:41 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Hendrix Lapierre · 2nd 14:22 · 1–4 · bat shot, a good chance (15%)
6
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 07:13 · 2–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Tom Wilson · 3rd 17:31 · 2–5 · slap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 83.
CGY 83%WSH 17%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Strome · 1st 14:59 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 05:58 · PP · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 09:16 · PP · GWG · 0–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Rooney · 2nd 10:41 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Hendrix Lapierre · 2nd 14:22 · 1–4
Bat shot, a good chance (15%)
6
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 07:13 · 2–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Tom Wilson · 3rd 17:31 · EN · 2–5
Slap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.