Calgary Flames
CGY · 33-32-5
1–4
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 34-33-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
011110012133
BUF
11108310429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 33-32-5 · BUF 34-33-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.7 expected goals); the Flames lost 1–4. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 33 and 29 shots on goal.
CGY 2.4 xG · 33 shots
BUF 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Peyton Krebs · 1st 04:53 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 10:35 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
JJ Peterka · 3rd 11:04 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Tage Thompson · 3rd 19:15 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Connor Clifton · 3rd 19:58 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 45.
CGY 45%BUF 55%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Peyton Krebs · 1st 04:53 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 10:35 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
JJ Peterka · 3rd 11:04 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Tage Thompson · 3rd 19:15 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Connor Clifton · 3rd 19:58 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.