CGY
2–4
COL
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 30-24-11
2–4
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 40-24-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
0208214224
COL
1711229428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
CGY 30-24-11 · COL 40-24-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
Flames fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.6 expected goals); the Flames lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 24 and 28 shots on goal.
CGY 2.2 xG · 24 shots
COL 2.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 1.5
3rd
1.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Lindgren · 1st 13:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Parker Kelly · 2nd 15:24 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Blake Coleman · 3rd 03:08 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Parker Kelly · 3rd 05:55 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 16:22 · 2–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 18:21 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 44.
CGY 44%COL 56%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Lindgren · 1st 13:21 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Parker Kelly · 2nd 15:24 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Blake Coleman · 3rd 03:08 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Parker Kelly · 3rd 05:55 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 16:22 · PP · 2–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 18:21 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
3
Matt Coronato, MacKenzie Weegar · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–2
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
