Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 3-2
5–1
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 2-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
212115211538
BOS
08011115134
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 3–2
CAR 3-2 · BOS 2-3 · Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 3–2
Hurricanes beat the Bruins
The Hurricanes earned it: 4.4 expected goals to 2.5, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Antti Raanta stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.5, on 38 and 34 shots on goal.
CAR 4.4 xG · 38 shots
BOS 2.5 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.6 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jaccob Slavin · 1st 06:11 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Tony DeAngelo · 1st 12:17 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 15:52 · 3–0 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 03:31 · 4–0 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Connor Clifton · 3rd 10:09 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 16:20 · 5–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 76.
CAR 76%BOS 24%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jaccob Slavin · 1st 06:11 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Tony DeAngelo · 1st 12:17 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 15:52 · 3–0
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 03:31 · PP · 4–0
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
5
Connor Clifton · 3rd 10:09 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 16:20 · EN · 5–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Teuvo Teravainen, Vincent Trocheck · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 4.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.