Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 6-2-1
3–2
Final / SOW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 5-4-1
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
CAR
11116015031335
WSH
052707010220
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 6-2-1 · WSH 5-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Capitals
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 1.8, and they won it in a shootout. Darcy Kuemper stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.8, on 35 and 20 shots on goal.
CAR 3.6 xG · 35 shots
WSH 1.8 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
OT
0.5 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 04:27 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Dylan Strome · 2nd 01:23 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 08:57 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 15:42 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 79.
CAR 79%WSH 21%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Stefan Noesen · 1st 04:27 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Dylan Strome · 2nd 01:23 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 08:57 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 15:42 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Hurricanes
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.