Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 6-5
3–5
FinalL
New York Rangers
NYR · 8-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
18212016336
NYR
03111410524
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Hurricanes trail the series 2–4
CAR 6-5 · NYR 8-2 · Game 6 — the Hurricanes trail the series 2–4
Hurricanes fell to the Rangers
The Hurricanes let a 2–0 lead get away: the Rangers came back with five unanswered goals — Kreider's equalizer — and won 3–5. Frederik Andersen allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.0, on 36 and 24 shots on goal.
CAR 3.1 xG · 36 shots
NYR 3.0 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.8
3rd
1.1 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Martin Necas · 1st 18:38 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 04:38 · 2–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
3
Vincent Trocheck · 2nd 05:29 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 09:23 · 3–1 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Chris Kreider · 3rd 06:43 · 3–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
6
Chris Kreider · 3rd 11:54 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Chris Kreider · 3rd 15:41 · 3–4 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
8
Barclay Goodrow · 3rd 19:11 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 51.
CAR 51%NYR 49%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Martin Necas · 1st 18:38 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 04:38 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
3
Vincent Trocheck · 2nd 05:29 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 09:23 · 3–1
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Chris Kreider · 3rd 06:43 · 3–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
6
Chris Kreider · 3rd 11:54 · PP · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Chris Kreider · 3rd 15:41 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
8
Barclay Goodrow · 3rd 19:11 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.