Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 18-10-1
0–3
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 14-13-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
01008014032
OTT
0611125322
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 18-10-1 · OTT 14-13-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes fell to the Senators
The Hurricanes created the better chances (2.6 to 1.5 expected goals) — and lost 0–3. Linus Ullmark stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.5, on 32 and 22 shots on goal.
CAR 2.6 xG · 32 shots
OTT 1.5 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.1 · 0.5
2nd
0.7 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Shane Pinto · 2nd 04:04 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Nick Jensen · 3rd 14:45 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Shane Pinto · 3rd 19:13 · 0–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 69.
CAR 69%OTT 31%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Shane Pinto · 2nd 04:04 · GWG · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Nick Jensen · 3rd 14:45 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Shane Pinto · 3rd 19:13 · EN · 0–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/32 saves · 0 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.