Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 45-24-4
6–4
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 32-31-10
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
21426210630
NYI
2919113431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
CAR 45-24-4 · NYI 32-31-10 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Hurricanes beat the Islanders
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.8, and a 6–4 win to show for it. Marcus Hogberg allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.8, on 30 and 31 shots on goal.
CAR 3.7 xG · 30 shots
NYI 2.8 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.0
2nd
1.2 · 1.0
3rd
1.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Jankowski · 1st 04:41 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Logan Stankoven · 1st 04:54 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Pierre Engvall · 1st 06:10 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 11:27 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
5
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 01:37 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 08:35 · 3–3 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 17:29 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Anders Lee · 3rd 04:05 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Dmitry Orlov · 3rd 09:19 · 5–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 17:14 · 6–4 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 62.
CAR 62%NYI 38%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Jankowski · 1st 04:41 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Logan Stankoven · 1st 04:54 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Pierre Engvall · 1st 06:10 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 11:27 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
5
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 01:37 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 08:35 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 17:29 · SH · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Anders Lee · 3rd 04:05 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Dmitry Orlov · 3rd 09:19 · GWG · 5–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 17:14 · 6–4
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/30 saves · 6 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.