CHI
5–3
TOR
Final · W
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 18-32-5
5–3
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 34-15-8
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
1827213528
TOR
17110118335
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CHI 18-32-5 · TOR 34-15-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blackhawks beat the Maple Leafs
The Blackhawks were outchanced (3.6 to 2.6 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 35 and 28 shots on goal.
CHI 2.6 xG · 28 shots
TOR 3.6 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.2
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
1.2 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Patrick Kane · 1st 10:44 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 1st 12:52 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Patrick Kane · 2nd 07:57 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Patrick Kane · 2nd 10:49 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Noel Acciari · 2nd 17:46 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
Mitch Marner · 3rd 07:38 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Cole Guttman · 3rd 11:42 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Max Domi · 3rd 18:44 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 35.
CHI 35%TOR 65%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Blackhawks shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Patrick Kane · 1st 10:44 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 1st 12:52 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Patrick Kane · 2nd 07:57 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Patrick Kane · 2nd 10:49 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Noel Acciari · 2nd 17:46 · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
Mitch Marner · 3rd 07:38 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Cole Guttman · 3rd 11:42 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Max Domi · 3rd 18:44 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4–3
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
