Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 21-35-5
2–5
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 33-16-13
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
1111307221
DAL
21601139536
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 1–2
CHI 21-35-5 · DAL 33-16-13 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 1–2
Blackhawks fell to the Stars
The Blackhawks were outchanced (3.9 to 2.5 expected goals) and lost 2–5. The Stars scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 36 and 21 shots on goal.
CHI 2.5 xG · 21 shots
DAL 3.9 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.9
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.1
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 10:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Cole Guttman · 1st 15:54 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
3
Roope Hintz · 1st 17:05 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jones · 2nd 00:26 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Jamie Benn · 3rd 00:45 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Esa Lindell · 3rd 18:35 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Roope Hintz · 3rd 19:46 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 30.
CHI 30%DAL 70%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 10:21 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Cole Guttman · 1st 15:54 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
3
Roope Hintz · 1st 17:05 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jones · 2nd 00:26 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Jamie Benn · 3rd 00:45 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Esa Lindell · 3rd 18:35 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Roope Hintz · 3rd 19:46 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.