Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 24-45-6
3–5
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 35-34-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
09112212333
STL
0731527529
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 1–3
CHI 24-45-6 · STL 35-34-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 1–3
Blackhawks fell to the Blues
The Blackhawks created the better chances (3.0 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Petr Mrazek allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blackhawks created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 33 and 29 shots on goal.
CHI 3.0 xG · 33 shots
STL 2.3 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
1.4 · 1.1
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jakub Vrana · 2nd 04:25 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Andreas Athanasiou · 2nd 10:24 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Logan Brown · 2nd 12:59 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 13:37 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Johnson · 3rd 00:31 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 09:25 · 2–4 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
7
· 3rd 10:01 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Brandon Saad · 3rd 18:47 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 63.
CHI 63%STL 37%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jakub Vrana · 2nd 04:25 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Andreas Athanasiou · 2nd 10:24 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Logan Brown · 2nd 12:59 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Alexey Toropchenko · 2nd 13:37 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Johnson · 3rd 00:31 · PP · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 09:25 · GWG · 2–4
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
7
· 3rd 10:01 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Brandon Saad · 3rd 18:47 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.