Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 5-9-0
2–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 7-6-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
160612214
TBL
01329210432
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CHI 5-9-0 · TBL 7-6-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blackhawks fell to the Lightning
The Blackhawks were outchanced (3.5 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 32 and 14 shots on goal.
CHI 2.4 xG · 14 shots
TBL 3.5 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 1.3
2nd
1.3 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Lukas Reichel · 1st 12:59 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Point · 2nd 04:40 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 09:01 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Corey Perry · 3rd 02:09 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Victor Hedman · 3rd 11:53 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:11 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 32.
CHI 32%TBL 68%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Lukas Reichel · 1st 12:59 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Point · 2nd 04:40 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 09:01 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Corey Perry · 3rd 02:09 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Victor Hedman · 3rd 11:53 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:11 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Philipp Kurashev, Kevin Korchinski · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
12/14 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.