CHI
2–3
BUF
Final · L
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 5-11-0
2–3
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 8-9-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
0821206226
BUF
181616320
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–1
CHI 5-11-0 · BUF 8-9-1 · First meeting this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–1
Blackhawks fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (2.0 to 1.8 expected goals); the Blackhawks lost 2–3. Petr Mrazek allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 1.8, on 26 and 20 shots on goal.
CHI 2.0 xG · 26 shots
BUF 1.8 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 04:53 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Taylor Raddysh · 2nd 03:28 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 10:55 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Philipp Kurashev · 2nd 17:28 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
5
Erik Johnson · 3rd 10:36 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 55.
CHI 55%BUF 45%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Blackhawks shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 04:53 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Taylor Raddysh · 2nd 03:28 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 10:55 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Philipp Kurashev · 2nd 17:28 · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
5
Erik Johnson · 3rd 10:36 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
