Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 6-12-0
4–3
Final / OTW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 10-5-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CHI
161911316434
TOR
115290904337
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 2–0
CHI 6-12-0 · TOR 10-5-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 2–0
Blackhawks beat the Maple Leafs
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Blackhawks erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Dickinson's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Korchinski's goal. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.8, on 37 and 34 shots on goal.
CHI 2.8 xG · 34 shots
TOR 4.0 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.4 · 2.0
2nd
0.9 · 1.0
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
OT
0.6 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Robertson · 1st 07:14 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jason Dickinson · 1st 08:03 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 01:17 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Ryan Reaves · 2nd 03:31 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Jason Dickinson · 2nd 12:27 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Jason Dickinson · 3rd 00:15 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Kevin Korchinski · OT 04:30 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 33.
CHI 33%TOR 67%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Robertson · 1st 07:14 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jason Dickinson · 1st 08:03 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 01:17 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Ryan Reaves · 2nd 03:31 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Jason Dickinson · 2nd 12:27 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Jason Dickinson · 3rd 00:15 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Kevin Korchinski · OT 04:30 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.