Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 7-16-1
3–4
Final / SOL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 13-12-0
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
CHI
1621109020328
NSH
01031405011430
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–2
CHI 7-16-1 · NSH 13-12-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–2
Blackhawks fell to the Predators
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.0 expected goals); the Blackhawks lost it in a shootout. The Predators owned the 2nd period, 1.7 to 0.7 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 28 and 30 shots on goal.
CHI 2.7 xG · 28 shots
NSH 3.0 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 1.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
OT
0.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Foligno · 1st 05:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 02:11 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
3
Mark Jankowski · 2nd 02:37 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
4
Jason Dickinson · 2nd 03:09 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Nick Foligno · 2nd 05:21 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 12:59 · 3–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 44.
CHI 44%NSH 56%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Foligno · 1st 05:57 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 02:11 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
3
Mark Jankowski · 2nd 02:37 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
4
Jason Dickinson · 2nd 03:09 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Nick Foligno · 2nd 05:21 · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 12:59 · PP · 3–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Predators
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.