Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 11-22-1
2–1
Final / OTW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 20-9-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CHI
150701211225
WPG
0131140902138
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CHI 11-22-1 · WPG 20-9-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blackhawks beat the Jets
The Blackhawks were outchanced (3.7 to 1.8 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Bedard's goal anyway. Petr Mrazek stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 1.8, on 38 and 25 shots on goal.
CHI 1.8 xG · 25 shots
WPG 3.7 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
0.2 · 1.3
3rd
0.8 · 0.7
OT
0.1 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor Bedard · 1st 15:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Morgan Barron · 2nd 03:47 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Connor Bedard · OT 02:15 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 21.
CHI 21%WPG 79%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor Bedard · 1st 15:57 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Morgan Barron · 2nd 03:47 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Connor Bedard · OT 02:15 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
2
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby, Dominic Toninato · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.