Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 12-29-2
1–3
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 25-12-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
06119010135
DAL
0809313330
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–3
CHI 12-29-2 · DAL 25-12-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–3
Blackhawks fell to the Stars
The Blackhawks created the better chances (3.3 to 2.0 expected goals) — and lost 1–3. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blackhawks created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.0, on 35 and 30 shots on goal.
CHI 3.3 xG · 35 shots
DAL 2.0 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
2.4 · 0.7
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 2nd 12:56 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
2
Matt Duchene · 3rd 02:32 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Mason Marchment · 3rd 14:54 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 19:37 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 70.
CHI 70%DAL 30%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 2nd 12:56 · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
2
Matt Duchene · 3rd 02:32 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Mason Marchment · 3rd 14:54 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 19:37 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.