Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 14-30-2
4–3
Final / OTW
New York Islanders
NYI · 19-15-11
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CHI
012281311424
NYI
1801021200330
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 1–0
CHI 14-30-2 · NYI 19-15-11 · First meeting this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 1–0
Blackhawks beat the Islanders
The Blackhawks were outchanced (3.5 to 2.3 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Jones's goal anyway. Ilya Sorokin allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 30 and 24 shots on goal.
CHI 2.3 xG · 24 shots
NYI 3.5 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.2
2nd
0.6 · 1.2
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 06:09 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
· 2nd 18:07 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Joey Anderson · 2nd 19:14 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Jason Dickinson · 3rd 05:10 · 3–1 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Bo Horvat · 3rd 06:38 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 12:50 · 3–3 · wrap around shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Seth Jones · OT 00:22 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 31.
CHI 31%NYI 69%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 06:09 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
· 2nd 18:07 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Joey Anderson · 2nd 19:14 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Jason Dickinson · 3rd 05:10 · 3–1
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Bo Horvat · 3rd 06:38 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 12:50 · 3–3
Wrap around shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Seth Jones · OT 00:22 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.