Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 15-37-3
3–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 22-27-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
181618322
OTT
17122013242
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 1–0
CHI 15-37-3 · OTT 22-27-2 · First meeting this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 1–0
Blackhawks beat the Senators
The Blackhawks were outchanced (3.6 to 1.7 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Dickinson's winner came with 1:52 left. Petr Mrazek stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.7, on 42 and 22 shots on goal.
CHI 1.7 xG · 22 shots
OTT 3.6 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.6
3rd
0.8 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Foligno · 1st 13:29 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 15:57 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 08:13 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Connor Bedard · 2nd 10:54 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Jason Dickinson · 3rd 18:08 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 21.
CHI 21%OTT 79%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Foligno · 1st 13:29 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Tim Stützle · 1st 15:57 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 08:13 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Connor Bedard · 2nd 10:54 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Jason Dickinson · 3rd 18:08 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
40/42 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.