Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 21-46-5
3–1
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 33-33-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
2150418327
CGY
05014120139
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 2–1
CHI 21-46-5 · CGY 33-33-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 2–1
Blackhawks beat the Flames
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.9 expected goals); the Blackhawks won 3–1. Petr Mrazek stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.9, on 27 and 39 shots on goal.
CHI 2.8 xG · 27 shots
CGY 2.9 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.9 · 0.2
2nd
0.2 · 1.6
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Seth Jones · 1st 03:35 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jason Dickinson · 1st 15:15 · 2–0 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Jason Dickinson · 3rd 04:15 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 12:25 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 48.
CHI 48%CGY 52%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Seth Jones · 1st 03:35 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jason Dickinson · 1st 15:15 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Jason Dickinson · 3rd 04:15 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
MacKenzie Weegar · 3rd 12:25 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
38/39 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.