Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 23-52-5
2–4
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 52-22-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
120915216
CAR
0911639434
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–2
CHI 23-52-5 · CAR 52-22-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–2
Blackhawks fell to the Hurricanes
The Blackhawks were outchanced (2.8 to 1.7 expected goals) and lost 2–4. The Hurricanes scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.7, on 34 and 16 shots on goal.
CHI 1.7 xG · 16 shots
CAR 2.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd
0.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Frank Nazar · 1st 10:05 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Staal · 2nd 04:10 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
3
Andreas Athanasiou · 3rd 01:54 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 06:24 · 2–2
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 16:27 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 17:54 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 30.
CHI 30%CAR 70%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Frank Nazar · 1st 10:05 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Staal · 2nd 04:10 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
3
Andreas Athanasiou · 3rd 01:54 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 06:24 · PP · 2–2
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 16:27 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 17:54 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Brent Burns, Andrei Svechnikov · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
14/16 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.