Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 2-5-1
2–3
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 2-5-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
1131808229
NSH
010214110334
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–1
CHI 2-5-1 · NSH 2-5-0 · First meeting this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–1
Blackhawks fell to the Predators
The Blackhawks let a 2–0 lead get away: the Predators came back with three unanswered goals — Nyquist's equalizer — and won 2–3. Juuse Saros stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blackhawks created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.6, on 29 and 34 shots on goal.
CHI 3.7 xG · 29 shots
NSH 2.6 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.8
2nd
0.9 · 1.3
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Craig Smith · 1st 02:55 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Connor Bedard · 2nd 05:14 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 13:41 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 16:59 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Brady Skjei · 3rd 13:07 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 66.
CHI 66%NSH 34%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Craig Smith · 1st 02:55 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Connor Bedard · 2nd 05:14 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 13:41 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 16:59 · SH · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Brady Skjei · 3rd 13:07 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.