Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 7-12-1
3–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 12-7-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
171716320
FLA
0919015133
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 1–0
CHI 7-12-1 · FLA 12-7-1 · First meeting this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 1–0
Blackhawks beat the Panthers
The Blackhawks were outchanced (2.5 to 1.7 expected goals) but won 3–1 anyway. Petr Mrazek stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 33 and 20 shots on goal.
CHI 1.7 xG · 20 shots
FLA 2.5 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd
0.5 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 02:46 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Craig Smith · 2nd 10:07 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 10:41 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Nick Foligno · 3rd 19:00 · 3–1 · poke shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 35.
CHI 35%FLA 65%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 02:46 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Craig Smith · 2nd 10:07 · GWG · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 10:41 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Nick Foligno · 3rd 19:00 · EN · 3–1
Poke shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.