Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 10-19-2
5–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 12-13-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
2101627523
NYI
16114113333
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CHI 10-19-2 · NYI 12-13-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blackhawks beat the Islanders
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.8 expected goals); the Blackhawks won 5–3. Bedard's winner came with 0:54 left. Ilya Sorokin allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.8, on 23 and 33 shots on goal.
CHI 2.7 xG · 23 shots
NYI 2.8 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 09:08 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Ryan Pulock · 1st 18:43 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Taylor Hall · 1st 19:40 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 02:25 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 15:19 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Noah Dobson · 3rd 00:47 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Connor Bedard · 3rd 19:06 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Connor Murphy · 3rd 19:49 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 48.
CHI 48%NYI 52%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 09:08 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Ryan Pulock · 1st 18:43 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Taylor Hall · 1st 19:40 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Simon Holmstrom · 2nd 02:25 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 15:19 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Noah Dobson · 3rd 00:47 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Connor Bedard · 3rd 19:06 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Connor Murphy · 3rd 19:49 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.