Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 15-28-3
5–3
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 29-14-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
3131317523
VGK
15217013335
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 1–0
CHI 15-28-3 · VGK 29-14-3 · First meeting this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 1–0
Blackhawks beat the Golden Knights
Chances were even (3.2 to 2.8 expected goals); the Blackhawks won 5–3. Ilya Samsonov allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 2.8, on 23 and 35 shots on goal.
CHI 3.2 xG · 23 shots
VGK 2.8 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
2.0 · 0.7
2nd
0.4 · 1.3
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Victor Olofsson · 1st 09:29 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Lukas Reichel · 1st 16:00 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 16:40 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Taylor Hall · 1st 19:42 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (67%)
5
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 08:10 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 14:42 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Seth Jones · 2nd 18:58 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 04:08 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 56.
CHI 56%VGK 44%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Victor Olofsson · 1st 09:29 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Lukas Reichel · 1st 16:00 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 16:40 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Taylor Hall · 1st 19:42 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (67%)
5
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 08:10 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 14:42 · PP · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Seth Jones · 2nd 18:58 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Tyler Bertuzzi · 3rd 04:08 · PP · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.