Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 15-28-4
3–4
Final / OTL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 28-16-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CHI
212160700325
CAR
01521311911448
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–1
CHI 15-28-4 · CAR 28-16-3 · First meeting this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–1
Blackhawks fell to the Hurricanes
The Blackhawks let a 2–0 lead get away: the Hurricanes came back with four unanswered goals — Staal's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Aho's goal. The Hurricanes owned the 3rd period, 1.5 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.8, on 48 and 25 shots on goal.
CHI 2.8 xG · 25 shots
CAR 4.0 xG · 48 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.8 · 0.9
2nd
0.7 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.5
OT
0.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Philipp Kurashev · 1st 09:46 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 16:55 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 01:25 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 07:26 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Ryan Donato · 2nd 19:41 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Jordan Staal · 3rd 13:37 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (45%)
7
Sebastian Aho · OT 00:59 · 3–4 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 33.
CHI 33%CAR 67%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Philipp Kurashev · 1st 09:46 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 16:55 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 01:25 · SH · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 07:26 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Ryan Donato · 2nd 19:41 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Jordan Staal · 3rd 13:37 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (45%)
7
Sebastian Aho · OT 00:59 · GWG · 3–4
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
44/48 saves · 4 GA · 4.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.