CHI
3–4
TBL
Final / OT · L
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 15-28-5
3–4
Final / OTL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 26-18-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CHI
25180100314
TBL
11211011711440
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–1
CHI 15-28-5 · TBL 26-18-3 · First meeting this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 0–1
Blackhawks fell to the Lightning
The Blackhawks let a 3–1 lead get away: the Lightning came back with three unanswered goals — Guentzel's equalizer with 0:42 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Kucherov's goal. Jonas Johansson allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 40 and 14 shots on goal.
CHI 1.9 xG · 14 shots
TBL 3.9 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.1
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.1 · 1.4
OT
0.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitchell Chaffee · 1st 10:59 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Colton Dach · 1st 16:29 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Frank Nazar · 1st 18:47 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Louis Crevier · 2nd 04:59 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Nick Paul · 2nd 19:52 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:18 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Nikita Kucherov · OT 00:58 · 3–4 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 20.
CHI 20%TBL 80%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Blackhawks shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitchell Chaffee · 1st 10:59 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Colton Dach · 1st 16:29 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Frank Nazar · 1st 18:47 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Louis Crevier · 2nd 04:59 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Nick Paul · 2nd 19:52 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:18 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Nikita Kucherov · OT 00:58 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
11/14 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
