Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 15-29-5
2–4
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 29-17-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
0104215220
MIN
21117110428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 1–3
CHI 15-29-5 · MIN 29-17-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 1–3
Blackhawks fell to the Wild
The Blackhawks were outchanced (2.5 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.8, on 28 and 20 shots on goal.
CHI 1.8 xG · 20 shots
MIN 2.5 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.2 · 0.5
3rd
1.4 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jared Spurgeon · 1st 05:43 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Frederick Gaudreau · 1st 07:17 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 10:45 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jones · 3rd 00:56 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Frank Nazar · 3rd 04:16 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 18:18 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 38.
CHI 38%MIN 62%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jared Spurgeon · 1st 05:43 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Frederick Gaudreau · 1st 07:17 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 10:45 · PP · GWG · 0–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jones · 3rd 00:56 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Frank Nazar · 3rd 04:16 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
6
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 18:18 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.