Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 17-31-6
6–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 18-28-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
21131019630
NSH
1808117233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 1–2
CHI 17-31-6 · NSH 18-28-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blackhawks trail the season series 1–2
Blackhawks beat the Predators
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.6 expected goals); the Blackhawks won 6–2. Juuse Saros allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.6, on 30 and 33 shots on goal.
CHI 3.5 xG · 30 shots
NSH 3.6 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd
1.3 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Frank Nazar · 1st 08:37 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Colton Sissons · 1st 08:57 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Patrick Maroon · 1st 14:54 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
4
Connor Bedard · 2nd 05:47 · 3–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Ryan Donato · 2nd 15:24 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Seth Jones · 2nd 19:51 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Ryan Donato · 3rd 13:18 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Tommy Novak · 3rd 18:57 · 6–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 48.
CHI 48%NSH 52%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Frank Nazar · 1st 08:37 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Colton Sissons · 1st 08:57 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Patrick Maroon · 1st 14:54 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
4
Connor Bedard · 2nd 05:47 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Ryan Donato · 2nd 15:24 · 4–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Seth Jones · 2nd 19:51 · PP · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Ryan Donato · 3rd 13:18 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Tommy Novak · 3rd 18:57 · 6–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/30 saves · 6 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.