CHI
2–3
COL
Final / SO · L
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 21-44-10
2–3
Final / SOL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 46-26-4
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
CHI
161807020223
COL
0808213021331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
CHI 21-44-10 · COL 46-26-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Blackhawks fell to the Avalanche
The Blackhawks let a 2–0 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with two unanswered goals — Necas's equalizer with 0:11 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in a shootout. Spencer Knight stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 31 and 23 shots on goal.
CHI 2.2 xG · 23 shots
COL 4.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.3
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd
0.8 · 1.4
OT
0.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 14:39 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Connor Murphy · 2nd 08:17 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · 3rd 09:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Martin Necas · 3rd 19:49 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 19.
CHI 19%COL 81%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Blackhawks shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 14:39 · SH · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Connor Murphy · 2nd 08:17 · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · 3rd 09:17 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Martin Necas · 3rd 19:49 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
3
Nathan MacKinnon, Valeri Nichushkin · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–1
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Avalanche
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
