Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 9-5-4
3–2
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 8-9-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CHI
110011211332
TOR
11415014233
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 1–0
CHI 9-5-4 · TOR 8-9-2 · First meeting this season — the Blackhawks lead the season series 1–0
Blackhawks beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.7 expected goals); the Blackhawks won 3–2.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 33 shots on goal.
CHI 3.0 xG · 32 shots
TOR 2.7 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd
1.1 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Greene · 1st 11:05 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nick Robertson · 1st 19:12 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 09:37 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Teuvo Teravainen · 3rd 05:12 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Colton Dach · 3rd 15:35 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blackhawks win 54.
CHI 54%TOR 46%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Greene · 1st 11:05 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Nick Robertson · 1st 19:12 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 09:37 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Teuvo Teravainen · 3rd 05:12 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Colton Dach · 3rd 15:35 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:53
Ryan Donato· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
09:37
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:27
Easton Cowan· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:44
Connor Bedard· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:18
Easton Cowan· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Blackhawks went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 3 Maple Leafs power plays.