Colorado Avalanche
COL · 56-18-7
4–5
Final / SOL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 45-29-7
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
COL
32011409030446
NSH
17213114031537
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 1–3
COL 56-18-7 · NSH 45-29-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 1–3
Avalanche fell to the Predators
The Avalanche let a 2–0 lead get away: the Predators came back with four unanswered goals — Ekholm's equalizer — and won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.5, on 46 and 37 shots on goal.
COL 4.2 xG · 46 shots
NSH 3.5 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd
1.4 · 0.7
3rd
1.3 · 1.5
OT
0.2 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cale Makar · 1st 02:01 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 06:46 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Matt Duchene · 1st 11:46 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Logan O'Connor · 1st 16:59 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Ryan Johansen · 2nd 03:17 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
J.T. Compher · 2nd 09:24 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Roman Josi · 2nd 16:28 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 04:11 · 4–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 59.
COL 59%NSH 41%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cale Makar · 1st 02:01 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 06:46 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Matt Duchene · 1st 11:46 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Logan O'Connor · 1st 16:59 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Ryan Johansen · 2nd 03:17 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
J.T. Compher · 2nd 09:24 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Roman Josi · 2nd 16:28 · PP · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Mattias Ekholm · 3rd 04:11 · 4–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
8
Alexandre Carrier, Mikael Granlund · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4–4
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Predators
Goaltending
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
42/46 saves · 4 GA · 4.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.