Colorado Avalanche
COL · 17-14-0
1–4
FinalL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 13-11-5
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
0701017124
UTA
1102716423
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 17-14-0 · UTA 13-11-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche fell to the Mammoth
The Avalanche created the better chances (2.5 to 1.7 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Karel Vejmelka stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 24 and 23 shots on goal.
COL 2.5 xG · 24 shots
UTA 1.7 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Guenther · 1st 08:26 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Vladislav Kolyachonok · 2nd 08:05 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 09:52 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:26 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 15:49 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 66.
COL 66%UTA 34%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Guenther · 1st 08:26 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Vladislav Kolyachonok · 2nd 08:05 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 09:52 · PP · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:26 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Kevin Stenlund · 3rd 15:49 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.