COL
7–4
TOR
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 38-24-2
7–4
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 38-22-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
21411347734
TOR
3813010421
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 38-24-2 · TOR 38-22-3 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Maple Leafs
Down 2–4 in the 2nd period, the Avalanche erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Drouin's equalizer — and won 7–4. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.5, on 34 and 21 shots on goal.
COL 3.0 xG · 34 shots
TOR 1.5 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 00:56 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 03:04 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 06:08 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 1st 12:51 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Mitch Marner · 1st 16:04 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
John Tavares · 2nd 12:45 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Joel Kiviranta · 2nd 15:11 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 11:55 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:45 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
10
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 18:06 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:07 · 7–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 75.
COL 75%TOR 25%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 00:56 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 03:04 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 06:08 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 1st 12:51 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Mitch Marner · 1st 16:04 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
John Tavares · 2nd 12:45 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Joel Kiviranta · 2nd 15:11 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 11:55 · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:45 · PP · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
10
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 18:06 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:07 · EN · 7–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
