Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 25-48-9
2–5
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 42-33-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
1811508231
BUF
01631128535
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 1–2
CBJ 25-48-9 · BUF 42-33-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 1–2
Blue Jackets fell to the Sabres
The Blue Jackets were outchanced (4.4 to 3.4 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Devon Levi stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.4, on 35 and 31 shots on goal.
CBJ 3.4 xG · 31 shots
BUF 4.4 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 1.7
2nd
2.0 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Johnny Gaudreau · 1st 00:34 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
· 2nd 08:36 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 12:35 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 14:01 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Tyler Angle · 2nd 18:24 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 04:03 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 17:27 · 2–5
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 37.
CBJ 37%BUF 63%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Johnny Gaudreau · 1st 00:34 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
· 2nd 08:36 · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 12:35 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 14:01 · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Tyler Angle · 2nd 18:24 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 04:03 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 17:27 · 2–5
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
7/8 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.