Dallas Stars
DAL · 8-8
0–4
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 11-3
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
01109014034
VGK
3101402416
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Stars trail the series 0–3
DAL 8-8 · VGK 11-3 · Game 3 — the Stars trail the series 0–3
Stars fell to the Golden Knights
The Stars created the better chances (2.2 to 1.2 expected goals) — and lost 0–4. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 2.2 expected goals to 1.2, on 34 and 16 shots on goal.
DAL 2.2 xG · 34 shots
VGK 1.2 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
0.9 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 01:11 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 05:57 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
William Carrier · 1st 07:10 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Alex Pietrangelo · 2nd 08:28 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 72.
DAL 72%VGK 28%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 01:11 · GWG · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 05:57 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
William Carrier · 1st 07:10 · 0–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Alex Pietrangelo · 2nd 08:28 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
10/11 saves · 1 GA · 0.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
2/5 saves · 3 GA · 0.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.