Dallas Stars
DAL · 19-8-4
4–3
Final / OTW
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 22-9-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
116191912436
VAN
16151801320
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 19-8-4 · VAN 22-9-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars beat the Canucks
The Stars earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, and they won it in overtime on Duchene's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 36 and 20 shots on goal.
DAL 3.8 xG · 36 shots
VAN 2.2 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
OT
0.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dakota Joshua · 1st 02:51 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Tyler Seguin · 1st 10:51 · 1–1 · poke shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Roope Hintz · 2nd 07:51 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Brock Boeser · 2nd 12:26 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Conor Garland · 3rd 15:04 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Thomas Harley · 3rd 16:30 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Matt Duchene · OT 04:50 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 75.
DAL 75%VAN 25%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dakota Joshua · 1st 02:51 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Tyler Seguin · 1st 10:51 · 1–1
Poke shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Roope Hintz · 2nd 07:51 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Brock Boeser · 2nd 12:26 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Conor Garland · 3rd 15:04 · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Thomas Harley · 3rd 16:30 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Matt Duchene · OT 04:50 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.