DAL
3–2
UTA
Final / OT · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 24-13-1
3–2
Final / OTW
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 17-15-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
010290515329
UTA
0921301102235
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 3–0
DAL 24-13-1 · UTA 17-15-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 3–0
Stars beat the Mammoth
The Stars were outchanced (4.4 to 3.3 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Harley's goal anyway. Jake Oettinger stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Mammoth created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.3, on 35 and 29 shots on goal.
DAL 3.3 xG · 29 shots
UTA 4.4 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 1.3
2nd
0.8 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.3
OT
0.8 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jamie Benn · 2nd 00:16 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Matias Maccelli · 2nd 01:30 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Oskar Bäck · 2nd 10:30 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Matias Maccelli · 2nd 13:37 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Thomas Harley · OT 03:01 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 35.
DAL 35%UTA 65%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Mammoth shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jamie Benn · 2nd 00:16 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Matias Maccelli · 2nd 01:30 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Oskar Bäck · 2nd 10:30 · 2–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Matias Maccelli · 2nd 13:37 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Thomas Harley · OT 03:01 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
