Dallas Stars
DAL · 0-1
1–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
090916124
COL
0112836525
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Stars trail the series 0–1
DAL 0-1 · COL 1-0 · Game 1 — the Stars trail the series 0–1
Stars fell to the Avalanche
The Stars were outchanced (3.2 to 2.7 expected goals) and lost 1–5. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.7, on 25 and 24 shots on goal.
DAL 2.7 xG · 24 shots
COL 3.2 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.2
2nd
1.0 · 1.2
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 09:30 · 0–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 16:38 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Roope Hintz · 3rd 06:45 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Devon Toews · 3rd 12:56 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 16:52 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Charlie Coyle · 3rd 17:03 · 1–5 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 42.
DAL 42%COL 58%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 09:30 · 0–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 16:38 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Roope Hintz · 3rd 06:45 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Devon Toews · 3rd 12:56 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 16:52 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Charlie Coyle · 3rd 17:03 · 1–5
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.