DAL
4–3
COL
Final / OT · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 1-1
4–3
Final / OTW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 1-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
1911211018439
COL
1102110808337
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
DAL 1-1 · COL 1-1 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Stars beat the Avalanche
The Stars earned it: 4.8 expected goals to 2.8, and they won it in overtime on Blackwell's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 2.8, on 39 and 37 shots on goal.
DAL 4.8 xG · 39 shots
COL 2.8 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd
1.5 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.4
OT
1.0 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 08:48 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Tyler Seguin · 1st 19:06 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Thomas Harley · 2nd 03:40 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jack Drury · 2nd 04:42 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 19:27 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 10:13 · 3–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
7
Colin Blackwell · OT 17:46 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 77.
DAL 77%COL 23%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 08:48 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Tyler Seguin · 1st 19:06 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Thomas Harley · 2nd 03:40 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jack Drury · 2nd 04:42 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 19:27 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 10:13 · 3–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
7
Colin Blackwell · OT 17:46 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
35/39 saves · 4 GA · 4.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
