DAL
4–2
COL
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 4-3
4–2
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 3-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
040649419
COL
0519113227
goals · shots on goal
Game 7 — the Stars lead the series 4–3
DAL 4-3 · COL 3-4 · Game 7 — the Stars lead the series 4–3
Stars beat the Avalanche
Down 0–2 in the 3rd period, the Stars erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Rantanen's equalizer — and won 4–2. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.1, on 27 and 19 shots on goal.
DAL 2.1 xG · 19 shots
COL 3.1 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Manson · 2nd 09:50 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 00:31 · 0–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 07:49 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 13:46 · 2–2 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 16:04 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 19:57 · 4–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 33.
DAL 33%COL 67%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Manson · 2nd 09:50 · SH · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 00:31 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 0–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 07:49 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 13:46 · PP · 2–2
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 16:04 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 19:57 · EN · 4–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
4
Thomas Harley, Matt Duchene · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–2
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
15/18 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
