Detroit Red Wings
DET · 4-2-2
2–1
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 3-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
1151901225
MIN
11407010131
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 4-2-2 · MIN 3-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Wild
The Red Wings were outchanced (2.4 to 1.7 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Ville Husso stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.7, on 31 and 25 shots on goal.
DET 1.7 xG · 25 shots
MIN 2.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 1.1
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd
0.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 01:28 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Lucas Raymond · 1st 16:51 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 19:55 · 2–1 · wrap around shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 35.
DET 35%MIN 65%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 01:28 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Lucas Raymond · 1st 16:51 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 19:55 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Wrap around shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
1
Mats Zuccarello, Frederick Gaudreau · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.