DET
3–1
WSH
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 5-3-2
3–1
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 5-5-2
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
091928326
WSH
09115010134
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
DET 5-3-2 · WSH 5-5-2 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 1–0
Red Wings beat the Capitals
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.5 expected goals); the Red Wings won 3–1. Ville Husso stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.5, on 26 and 34 shots on goal.
DET 2.1 xG · 26 shots
WSH 2.5 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 07:11 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 14:58 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Andrew Copp · 3rd 16:10 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 19:32 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 44.
DET 44%WSH 56%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 07:11 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 14:58 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Andrew Copp · 3rd 16:10 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 19:32 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
