DET
2–4
TOR
Final · L
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 11-6-4
2–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 14-5-5
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
110015119244
TOR
2521406425
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 11-6-4 · TOR 14-5-5 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.0 expected goals); the Red Wings lost 2–4. Ville Husso allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.0, on 44 and 25 shots on goal.
DET 2.5 xG · 44 shots
TOR 2.0 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.3
2nd
1.0 · 1.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Moritz Seider · 1st 04:45 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 08:24 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 1st 09:15 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 00:52 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Sandin · 2nd 08:37 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Adam Erne · 3rd 12:41 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 58.
DET 58%TOR 42%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Moritz Seider · 1st 04:45 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
2
Auston Matthews · 1st 08:24 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 1st 09:15 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 00:52 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Sandin · 2nd 08:37 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Adam Erne · 3rd 12:41 · 2–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
5
Auston Matthews, Alexander Kerfoot · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–4
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
9/13 saves · 4 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
12/12 saves · 0 GA · 0.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
