DET
4–5
BUF
Final / SO · L
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 11-6-5
4–5
Final / SOL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 10-12-1
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
DET
116011317010445
BUF
21221208021534
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
DET 11-6-5 · BUF 10-12-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–2
Red Wings fell to the Sabres
The Red Wings created the better chances (4.1 to 3.4 expected goals) — and lost it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.4, on 45 and 34 shots on goal.
DET 4.1 xG · 45 shots
BUF 3.4 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
1.3 · 1.0
3rd
1.8 · 1.4
OT
0.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 01:20 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 1st 04:53 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Mattias Samuelsson · 1st 08:25 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 08:12 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
· 2nd 10:17 · 1–4 · wrap around shot, a good chance (11%)
6
David Perron · 3rd 06:51 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Oskar Sundqvist · 3rd 10:41 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Oskar Sundqvist · 3rd 12:31 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 60.
DET 60%BUF 40%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonatan Berggren · 1st 01:20 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 1st 04:53 · SH · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Mattias Samuelsson · 1st 08:25 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 08:12 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
· 2nd 10:17 · PP · 1–4
Wrap around shot, a good chance (11%)
6
David Perron · 3rd 06:51 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Oskar Sundqvist · 3rd 10:41 · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Oskar Sundqvist · 3rd 12:31 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Sabres
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
41/45 saves · 4 GA · 4.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
