Detroit Red Wings
DET · 11-7-5
1–4
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 18-7-1
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
0916010125
VGK
1629110425
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
DET 11-7-5 · VGK 18-7-1 · First meeting this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 0–1
Red Wings fell to the Golden Knights
The Red Wings created the better chances (3.4 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Adin Hill stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.8, on 25 and 25 shots on goal.
DET 3.4 xG · 25 shots
VGK 2.8 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
1.6 · 0.9
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Eichel · 1st 01:04 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
2
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 07:50 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Oskar Sundqvist · 2nd 11:37 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Phil Kessel · 2nd 16:32 · 1–3 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Reilly Smith · 3rd 17:00 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 60.
DET 60%VGK 40%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Eichel · 1st 01:04 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
2
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 07:50 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Oskar Sundqvist · 2nd 11:37 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
4
Phil Kessel · 2nd 16:32 · 1–3
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Reilly Smith · 3rd 17:00 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.