DET
7–4
TBL
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 14-11-7
7–4
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 20-11-1
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
2151848731
TBL
217111110438
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 2–0
DET 14-11-7 · TBL 20-11-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Red Wings lead the season series 2–0
Red Wings beat the Lightning
The Red Wings were outchanced (3.0 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 7–4 anyway. Brian Elliott allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.4, on 38 and 31 shots on goal.
DET 2.4 xG · 31 shots
TBL 3.0 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.8 · 1.3
2nd
0.2 · 1.0
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 01:29 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Olli Maatta · 1st 15:34 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Alex Killorn · 1st 18:38 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Michael Rasmussen · 1st 19:32 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 11:08 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Ross Colton · 2nd 13:15 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Elmer Soderblom · 3rd 03:48 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
8
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 09:46 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 16:13 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
David Perron · 3rd 17:27 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 18:59 · 7–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 40.
DET 40%TBL 60%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 01:29 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Olli Maatta · 1st 15:34 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Alex Killorn · 1st 18:38 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Michael Rasmussen · 1st 19:32 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Larkin · 2nd 11:08 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Ross Colton · 2nd 13:15 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Elmer Soderblom · 3rd 03:48 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
8
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 09:46 · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 16:13 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
10
David Perron · 3rd 17:27 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 18:59 · EN · 7–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
3
Ross Colton, Nick Perbix · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–2
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
