DET
4–2
OTT
Final · W
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 16-12-7
4–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 16-17-3
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
0617312425
OTT
21102010223
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DET 16-12-7 · OTT 16-17-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Red Wings beat the Senators
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Red Wings erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Raymond's equalizer — and won 4–2. Cam Talbot allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 25 and 23 shots on goal.
DET 2.2 xG · 25 shots
OTT 2.5 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.2 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.5
3rd
1.1 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 10:36 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Claude Giroux · 1st 15:27 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Pius Suter · 2nd 08:42 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 01:18 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Elmer Soderblom · 3rd 02:36 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 03:13 · 4–2 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 45.
DET 45%OTT 55%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Red Wings shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 10:36 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Claude Giroux · 1st 15:27 · 0–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Pius Suter · 2nd 08:42 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 01:18 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Elmer Soderblom · 3rd 02:36 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 03:13 · 4–2
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Unassisted · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4–2
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
