Detroit Red Wings
DET · 16-13-7
1–5
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 24-11-3
1ST2ND3RDT
DET
010011112133
NJD
06210311527
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
DET 16-13-7 · NJD 24-11-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Red Wings trail the season series 1–2
Red Wings fell to the Devils
The Red Wings created the better chances (3.3 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 1–5. Ville Husso allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.5, on 33 and 27 shots on goal.
DET 3.3 xG · 33 shots
NJD 2.5 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
1.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dougie Hamilton · 2nd 09:17 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nico Hischier · 2nd 16:20 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Michael McLeod · 3rd 01:51 · 0–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
4
Alexander Holtz · 3rd 06:40 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Jack Hughes · 3rd 13:59 · 0–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 18:00 · 1–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Red Wings win 62.
DET 62%NJD 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dougie Hamilton · 2nd 09:17 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Nico Hischier · 2nd 16:20 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Michael McLeod · 3rd 01:51 · 0–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (25%)
4
Alexander Holtz · 3rd 06:40 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Jack Hughes · 3rd 13:59 · 0–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 18:00 · PP · 1–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.